Bridge Trading Daily Brief

2026-08-12 · Educational market structure · all data as of last market close
Negative gamma dominant 6/8 watchlist names in negative-gamma territory.

What Would Change My Mind

• If SPY breaks below $768 and closes there post-CPI with VIX staying sub-16, negative gamma thesis inverts as dealer short-gamma positions unwind mechanically into bid, reversing convexity structure across the complex.
• If QQQ rallies through its $733 flip and sustains above it with NVDA clearing $220 simultaneously, dealer long-gamma hedging cascades upward, forcing the mega-cap tech short-convexity regime into positive territory and invalidating the washout setup.
• If AAPL decisively breaks above its $315 inflection on earnings-driven vol expansion while AMD remains stuck below $470, idiosyncratic rotation away from market-beta gamma risk emerges, fragmenting the unified negative-gamma narrative that currently ties the watchlist together.

Watchlist snapshot

TickerSpotGEX regimeIV rank
SPY$770.90negative
QQQ$718.89negative
NVDA$217.99positive
AAPL$305.04negative
MSFT$503.40negative
AMD$475.00negative0%
TSLA$332.80negative0%
META$600.21positive
Tickers: SPY, QQQ, NVDA, AAPL, MSFT, AMD, TSLA, META

Educational pattern examples

No notable patterns detected today.

Examples of historical chart patterns. Not trade recommendations.

Macro calendar

DateEventType
2026-08-13📊 CPI Releasecpi

Get this brief in your inbox

Plus your own watchlist's morning brief at 7:30 AM ET, every trading day.

Create account See pricing