Bridge Trading Daily Brief
What Would Change My Mind
Share this card →• If SPY breaks below $768 and closes there post-CPI with VIX staying sub-16, negative gamma thesis inverts as dealer short-gamma positions unwind mechanically into bid, reversing convexity structure across the complex.
• If QQQ rallies through its $733 flip and sustains above it with NVDA clearing $220 simultaneously, dealer long-gamma hedging cascades upward, forcing the mega-cap tech short-convexity regime into positive territory and invalidating the washout setup.
• If AAPL decisively breaks above its $315 inflection on earnings-driven vol expansion while AMD remains stuck below $470, idiosyncratic rotation away from market-beta gamma risk emerges, fragmenting the unified negative-gamma narrative that currently ties the watchlist together.
Watchlist snapshot
| Ticker | Spot | GEX regime | IV rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPY | $770.90 | negative | — |
| QQQ | $718.89 | negative | — |
| NVDA | $217.99 | positive | — |
| AAPL | $305.04 | negative | — |
| MSFT | $503.40 | negative | — |
| AMD | $475.00 | negative | 0% |
| TSLA | $332.80 | negative | 0% |
| META | $600.21 | positive | — |
Educational pattern examples
No notable patterns detected today.
Macro calendar
| Date | Event | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | 📊 CPI Release | cpi |
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